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Low

hurricane Hurricane Risk in El Paso, TX

Risk Level: Low — Score 1/10

FEMA: 1Historical: 0

Live Hurricane alert status near El Paso

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Recent hurricane activity near El Paso

Last 30 days · updated 2026-09-30 · alerts are forecast products; an observed event is stated as such.

ALERTNWS Flood Watch — ended

Mon Sep 28, 2026, 12:00 PM MDT – cancelled Wed Sep 30, 1:50 AM MDT · All of El Paso County, plus Hudspeth County and southern New Mexico

Hazard: Heavy rain and flash flooding from Polo's tropical moisture, plus a Wind Advisory for gusts up to 55 mph.

Polo never reached El Paso as a tropical storm. It made landfall on Baja California Sur's west coast late Monday, just south of Las Barrancas (NHC advisory 34A; NHC later estimated it was a Category 2 hurricane at landfall), crossed the Gulf of California, and came ashore again late Tuesday morning a little east of Guaymas, Sonora, at 75 mph (advisory 36A). It weakened to a tropical storm by 2 PM MST (advisory 37) and NHC declared it dissipated over northwestern Mexico at 8 PM MST Tuesday (9 PM in El Paso), about 125 miles southwest of El Paso; that was NHC's last advisory (38). NHC said its remnants were still producing heavy rain and gusty winds over parts of the southwestern U.S. that evening. While the watch was in effect, NWS El Paso issued three flash flood warnings that included parts of El Paso County: El Paso's east side Monday evening (7:02–8:29 PM), northwest El Paso County including Canutillo, Westway and Vinton Tuesday afternoon (4:10–5:45 PM), and the far southeastern county near Fort Hancock Tuesday night (9:24 PM–12:30 AM). It also issued four flood advisories for the county (three Monday evening and night, one Tuesday 3:16–4:15 PM), a severe thunderstorm warning for northwestern El Paso County Tuesday afternoon (3:33–4:15 PM), and the Wind Advisory, which ran from 3 PM until it was cancelled at 10:40 PM Tuesday. NWS cancelled the watch at 1:50 AM Wednesday, about four hours early, saying additional flooding was not expected. The watch was first issued late Saturday, September 26.

DisasterAWARE map of Hurricane Polo on the morning of September 29, 2026, as forecast in NHC advisory 36: Polo at 75 mph just south of Guaymas, Sonora, NHC's forecast cone running northeast across Sonora to a 45 mph post-tropical point about 134 miles southwest of El Paso by Tuesday evening, the NWS El Paso Flood Watch area shaded green over El Paso and southern New Mexico, and US radar at 9 AM MDT showing rain over southern New Mexico (no radar coverage over Mexico)
Snapshot from Tuesday morning, September 29 (NHC advisory 36, times in MST, one hour behind El Paso): Polo just before its Sonora landfall, with NHC's forecast point and track-uncertainty cone, which covers the storm's center, not its rain. Polo then moved northeast as forecast and dissipated at 8 PM MST about 125 miles southwest of El Paso (advisory 38). Green is the NWS El Paso Flood Watch as scheduled (to 6 AM Wednesday); NWS cancelled it early, at 1:50 AM MDT. Radar is US-only, so Mexico appears dry. DisasterAWARE map; data NHC, NWS; radar via Iowa Environmental Mesonet; basemap Esri. Open the interactive map ↗
OBSERVEDFlooding — 3 reports to NWS

Tue Sep 29, 2026, 4:00 PM MDT – 4:19 PM MDT · Northwest El Paso County (Vinton, Anthony) and El Paso

Hazard: Thunderstorm downpours in the moisture from Polo's remnants.

Flooding was reported to NWS Tuesday afternoon: South Desert Blvd was closed by flooding near Vinton, water was running over S. Desert Blvd at Anthony (TxDOT camera), and a trained spotter reported flooding at Harrison and Alabama streets in El Paso deep enough to stop traffic. Thunderstorm winds also brought down power lines and utility poles near Rushing Road and Fairbanks Drive in northeast El Paso. El Paso International Airport measured 0.72 inch of rain Monday and 0.09 inch Tuesday, with a peak gust of 43 mph Tuesday. Gauges in NWS El Paso's Wednesday-morning rain report ranged from 0.59 to 1.58 inches across the county, the most about 5 miles north of El Paso. No flooding was reported to NWS in El Paso County from Monday evening's warning or Tuesday night's warning near Fort Hancock (Local Storm Reports checked 2026-09-30).

Live hurricane map around El Paso

Shows hurricane warnings and events that are active right now, refreshed through the day. When none are active, the map is empty by design — the section above is what happened recently.

Key Risk Factors

Hurricane risk in El Paso is rated low (1/10). DisasterAWARE's historical archive has no recorded hurricane events near El Paso, and forward-looking hazard models identify no significant hurricane risk factors for this location. Low risk does not mean unmonitored: DisasterAWARE tracks hurricane activity worldwide in real time, so any future alert affecting El Paso appears the moment an authoritative agency issues it.

Peak season: August-October

Highest Risk Cities for Hurricanes

1
FEMA: 9Historical: 7
2
FEMA: 9Historical: 7
3
FEMA: 9Historical: 7
4
FEMA: 9Historical: 7
5
Risk: 9Historical: 10
6
Risk: 9Historical: 6
7
Risk: 9Historical: 3
8
Risk: 9Historical: 10
9
Risk: 9Historical: 0
10
Risk: 9Historical: 8
El Paso is not in the top 10 for hurricane risk among tracked cities.

How El Paso Compares

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Hurricane Preparedness Tips

  • 1.Know your evacuation zone and plan routes in advance
  • 2.Install storm shutters or have plywood pre-cut for windows
  • 3.Stock at least 3 days of water, food, and medications
  • 4.Secure outdoor furniture and trim trees near structures
  • 5.Review your insurance coverage for wind and flood damage

Related Pages

How this data is built

El Paso, TX hurricane risk combines Historical Event Intelligence with authoritative hazard modeling from the Geospatial Intelligence Layers catalog. Live hurricane monitoring is available through the Event Intelligence API and the DisasterAWARE Platform.

The data behind this page

Every score and event here comes from DisasterAWARE's hazard database — available as downloadable historical datasets and a real-time API.

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